Team            W       L       RF      RA      DIV     WC      DIV%    WC%     Made%   High W  High L
American League                                                                                         
East                                                                                    
New York(A)     91      71      879     785     53      19      52.5%   18.5%   71.0%   106     80
Boston          87      75      852     767     33      14      33.0%   13.8%   46.8%   107     73
Toronto         83      79      767     749     13      6       12.5%   5.5%    18.0%   100     68
Baltimore       75      87      747     804     2       2       2.0%    2.0%    4.0%    92      58
Tampa Bay       70      92      698     826     0       1       0.0%    1.0%    1.0%    90      53
                                                                                        
Central                                                                                 
Minnesota       84      78      742     711     44      2       44.0%   2.0%    46.0%   104     72
Cleveland       83      79      787     762     38      3       37.5%   3.0%    40.5%   98      62
Chicago(A)      79      83      743     764     11      3       11.0%   2.5%    13.5%   99      65
Detroit         78      84      757     785     8       0       7.5%    0.0%    7.5%    92      62
Kansas City     68      94      692     818     0       0       0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    86      52
                                                                                        
West                                                                                    
Oakland         94      68      781     655     75      11      75.0%   11.0%   86.0%   109     77
Los Angeles(A)  84      78      729     710     9       17      8.5%    16.8%   25.3%   97      71
Seattle         84      78      758     741     13      18      12.5%   17.5%   30.0%   98      60
Texas           79      83      830     845     4       6       4.0%    6.3%    10.3%   96      60
                                                                                        
National League                                                                                         
East                                                                                    
Philadelphia    89      73      790     705     46      18      45.5%   17.8%   63.3%   101     70
New York(N)     89      73      794     741     44      16      43.5%   16.0%   59.5%   107     68
Atlanta         81      81      763     759     11      8       10.5%   7.5%    18.0%   98      61
Washington      76      86      695     744     1       1       0.5%    1.0%    1.5%    88      62
Florida         70      92      689     783     0       0       0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    86      55
                                                                                        
Central                                                                                 
St. Louis       93      69      759     645     74      13      74.0%   12.5%   86.5%   109     79
Milwaukee       83      79      745     727     11      10      10.5%   10.3%   20.8%   104     66
Chicago(N)      82      80      741     730     7       13      6.5%    12.5%   19.0%   95      69
Houston         79      83      725     754     4       5       4.0%    4.5%    8.5%    101     65
Pittsburgh      78      84      716     740     5       4       5.0%    3.8%    8.8%    94      63
Cincinnati      74      88      774     849     0       2       0.0%    1.5%    1.5%    91      60
                                                                                        
West                                                                                    
Los Angeles(N)  93      69      808     695     87      3       86.5%   2.5%    89.0%   106     77
San Francisco   82      80      758     738     10      8       9.5%    8.0%    17.5%   100     64
San Diego       79      83      740     744     3       1       3.0%    1.0%    4.0%    95      57
Arizona         76      86      763     810     1       1       1.0%    1.0%    2.0%    89      67
Colorado        67      95      775     912     0       0       0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    81      57

I have Chacon projected to be a good (better than average) pitcher. I think that Pecota's projection for him is flat out not even close, but I could be wrong. I have a lot of respect for their projections overall. While it is indeed tricky to project players coming from the Rockies, even using proper park adjustments, there is one thing that no forecasters do that I do, which will make a big difference in the projections. That is to adjust for the hangover effect for Rockies players. IOW, their road stats while playing for the Rockies need to be adjusted quite a bit as well as their home stats. When Rockies players switch teams (or go from another team TO the Rockies), their road stats (not including their road stats in Coors Field) go up substantially (or down substantially if they are GOING to the Rox). If you don't adjust for that, you will substantially under-project players like Chacon.

So basically I think that Chacon is a pretty good pitcher (and should post around a 4.50 ERA for the Yankees) and that Small sucks. Wright is not half the pitcher that Chacon is. I think that he (Wright) is terrible as well.