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The Winter Meetings
by SG

The Baseball Winter Meetings are finally here. There's a lot of talk about potential deals, but if memory serves me correctly nothing much typically happens at these meetings.

What I find interesting is the money that non-spectacular players like Esteban Loaiza and Paul Byrd were signed for. If that($7 million a year) is the current market for roughly league average inning eaters, it would seem to be a good thing for the Yankees, as they can possibly use Carl Pavano + $9 million over the remaining three years of his contract to get a useful CF(ie, not Juan Pierre). The Yankees have supposedly turned down an offer of Pavano for Jeremy Reed already, which I guess means they are hopeful they can do better.

I'd also expect the Yankees to add at least two more bullpen arms, probably Julian Tavarez and Mike Myers. I'm not particularly fond of either one. Tavarez has been good as a reliever, but he hasn't even averaged an inning an outing in his last few years, which is probably keeping his ERA low. Myers is solid against lefties, and awful against righties and is very limited in his utility because of this since smart teams stagger their lefty and righty bats.

Should be an interesting few days of rumor-mongering anyway.

Update: Over at Baseball Think Factory, Dan Szymborski has posted his ZiPS projections for the Yankees for 2006. As always, projection systems only work with the data available and take nothing else into account (new abilities, injuries, etc.,) so don't read too much into them.


Name               P    AVG   OBP   SPC   G  AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI  BB   K SB CS 
Rodriguez          3b  .301  .400  .559 162 621 115 187 27  2 43 130  92 131 19  6 
Giambi*            1b  .250  .401  .488 133 424  67 106 17  0 28  82  94 106  0  1 
Matsui*            lf  .294  .372  .477 161 608  98 179 41  2 22 103  75  87  2  2 
Sheffield          rf  .271  .371  .468 148 547  91 148 27  0 27 101  81  67  7  4 
Jeter              ss  .299  .368  .442 153 633 110 189 31  3 18  84  60 108 15  5 
Posada#            c   .254  .358  .424 140 465  64 118 25  0 18  73  73 100  1  2 
Phillips           1b  .260  .326  .471 115 412  70 107 20  2 21  69  38  75  2  2 
Bellhorn#          2b  .234  .351  .386 127 435  61 102 25  1 13  53  76 145  4  2 
Cano*              2b  .286  .317  .438 150 587  89 168 29  6 16  80  25  77  3  2 
Lawton*            lf  .254  .350  .390 135 497  81 126 23  0 15  72  65  69 14 10 
Johnson            3b  .254  .339  .390 105 331  47  84 24  0  7  42  41  56  4  4 
Reese*             cf  .263  .330  .406 132 525  80 138 34  4 11  62  47  87 12  9 
Vento              rf  .265  .326  .401 129 479  58 127 30  1 11  63  36  91  2  3 
Jones              lf  .231  .306  .433 134 490  73 113 25  1 24  75  48 164  2  4 
Williams#          cf  .241  .332  .362 138 494  62 119 22  1 12  63  68  75  2  3 
Stinnett           c   .240  .313  .380  51 129  12  31  6  0  4  18  12  33  0  0 
Cabrera#           cf  .269  .310  .367 137 521  74 140 18  3  9  60  28  91  8  2 
Escalona           2b  .247  .311  .357 112 361  51  89 20  1  6  40  24  56  3  1 
Crosby*            lf  .253  .307  .367 108 297  37  75 12  2  6  35  20  47  6  3 
Nieves             c   .270  .297  .368 107 389  44 105 19  2  5  40  13  52  2  1 
Thurston*          2b  .271  .309  .374 132 454  65 123 17  3  8  53  22  58  5  8 
Sardinha*          rf  .237  .305  .355 120 439  53 104 20  1 10  49  39 112  7  3 
Duncan*            3b  .221  .299  .365 130 447  63  99 15  2 15  55  47 140  7  2 
Martinez*          1b  .219  .296  .359 131 379  46  83 14  0 13  54  38  65  2  1 
Porter*            rf  .236  .297  .356 113 365  38  86 22  2  6  32  30 102  7  6 
Womack*            2b  .245  .288  .300 127 436  55 107 14  2  2  34  24  55 19  6 
Parrish            c   .217  .281  .309  77 272  28  59 10  0  5  26  22  66  1  1 
Guillen            rf  .230  .269  .300 117 434  53 100 11  2  5  37  18  84  5  3 
Sierra#            rf  .205  .245  .305  88 249  21  51 10  0  5  31  14  50  1  0 
Sanchez            ss  .213  .243  .266  85 263  21  56  9  1  1  21   9  29  1  1 
Flaherty           c   .192  .222  .288  50 146  11  28  8  0  2  14   5  30  0  1

Name                 W   L    ERA   G  GS     INN    H   ER  HR   BB    K 
Rivera               8   1   2.49  71   0    76.0   60   21   3   17   70 
Johnson*            18   7   3.52  33  33   215.0  193   84  26   44  211 
Farnsworth           3   2   3.73  73   0    70.0   56   29   7   29   82 
Brown               11   6   3.92  23  23   147.0  149   64  11   40  107 (.38 $H in '05!)
Mussina             14   8   3.97  29  29   186.0  188   82  23   35  149 
Pavano              12   8   4.18  27  27   181.0  193   84  19   37  103 
Bean                 6   5   4.38  59   0    74.0   66   36   8   35   76 
Chacon               9   7   4.40  32  20   131.0  125   64  13   54   78 
Wang                 8   7   4.40  23  23   141.0  148   69  15   39   79 
Bergman*             5   4   4.44  35  20   142.0  152   70  18   33   91 
Anderson             3   3   4.64  52   1    64.0   63   33   8   24   46 
Embree*              3   3   4.67  68   0    52.0   54   27   8   13   40 
Rodriguez            4   4   4.83  60   0    54.0   53   29   6   25   41 
Sturtze              4   4   4.86  51   2    76.0   78   41  10   30   47 
Mendoza              2   3   4.91  32   0    55.0   63   30   9   12   29 
Small                8   9   4.97  29  22   145.0  165   80  23   33   74 
DeSalvo              6   6   5.01  22  21   124.0  123   69  15   61   94 
Proctor              4   5   5.05  61   1    82.0   83   46  15   29   73 
Redding              8   9   5.08  28  24   133.0  147   75  16   48   81 
Karstens             9  11   5.09  27  26   168.0  196   95  27   38   97 
Manning*             4   6   5.13  43   6    86.0   88   49  10   43   60 
Wright               9  12   5.13  29  29   156.0  163   89  18   72  109 
Smith*               4   5   5.30  37   6    73.0   74   43   8   38   59 
Leiter*              8  12   5.33  31  28   162.0  165   96  17   91  103 
Henn*                6   8   5.34  24  24   128.0  138   76  15   60   77 
Munro                7  10   5.37  39  18   124.0  146   74  19   36   69 
May*                 8  11   5.45  33  25   170.0  195  103  34   45  101 
Nomo                 7  11   5.63  24  24   144.0  154   90  22   71   95 
Marsonek             3   5   5.67  48   2    73.0   83   46  12   30   44 
Beam                 4   6   5.72  35  10    96.0  109   61  20   32   72 
Franklin*            4   7   5.88  46  17   127.0  140   83  24   57   79 
Borrell*             2   4   6.57  15  12    63.0   78   46  14   24   31 
De Paula             2   6   6.97  26  22   115.0  141   89  36   43   75

--posted at 9:08 AM by SG / |

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