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Larry Mahnken and SG's | ||
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Featuring: Larry Mahnken SG sjohnny TVerik Sean McNally Fabian McNally John Brattain This is an awesome FREE site, where you can win money and gift certificates with no skill involved! If you're bored, I HIGHLY recommend checking it out!  
The New York Yankees Vintage World Series Films DVD Set, available from A&E. Yankees Tickets World Series Tickets MLB All Star Tickets NFL Tickets Purchase your Onlineseats.com is your #1 source for MLB tickets, NY Mets Tickets, Cubs Tickets, Yankees Tickets, Red Sox Tickets, Giants Tickets, Astros Tickets, Angels Tickets, Phillies Tickets.
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Laser Keyboard Brazil Flowers TickCo.com for premium New York Yankees Tickets Boston Red Sox Tickets Chicago white Sox Tickets A's Tickets Angels Tickets New York Mets Tickets St Louis Cardinals Tickets Cubs Tickets Dodgers Tickets Add the RLYW to My Yahoo! "I'm not a pessimist, I'm an optimist. Things are really worse than I say they are." - Steve South A-Rod Cover Counter  Appearances
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"Wow, Larry. You've produced 25% of the comments on this thread and
said nothing meaningful. That's impressive, even for you."
"After reading all your postings and daily weblog...I believe you have truly become the Phil Pepe of this generation. Now this is not necessarily a good thing."
"you blog sucks, it reeds as it was written by the queer son of mike lupica and roids clemens. i could write a better column by letting a monkey fuk a typewriter. i dont need no 181 million dollar team to write a blog fukkk the spankeees"
"i think his followers have a different sexual preference than most men"
"Boring and predictable."
"Are you the biggest idiot ever?"
"I'm not qualified to write for online media, let alone mainstream
media."
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Disclaimer: If you think this is the official website of the New York Yankees, you're an idiot. Go away. December 29, 2005
PrOPS and the 2005 Yankees by SG Over on the Hardball Times, JC Bradbury introduced a system called PrOPS. The basis behind PrOPS, is to look deeper into a player's stats and come up with a predicted OPS, based on several factors, including: * Line drive percentage * Groundball-to-flyball ratio * Walk rate * Hit-by-pitch rate * Strikeout rate * Home run rate * Park factors I don't know the specifics of how it's calculated and don't really feel like reverse engineering it right now, but thankfully the stats are available here. I thought it would be interesting to look at the performance of the key members of the 2005 Yankees and see if any of them were particularly lucky or unlucky.
Some interesting stuff in here. Jason Giambi was acually slightly unlucky last year, which is good news for next year. According to PrOPS, Giambi should have hit .311 and slugged .615. Alex Rodriguez appeared to be quite lucky, hitting almost 40 pts higher than expected. That's not such good news. His PrOPS line of .282/.391/.573 would be reminiscent of his 2004, although with a lot more power. Gary Sheffield performed almost exactly like PrOPS would have guessed he would. Tino Martinez may be gone, but according to this he was actually unlucky last year. Derek Jeter appeared to perform slightly better than would be expected, which is a little disconcerting. Jorge Posada was slightly unlucky, but not enough to arrest the concerns about his decline. Hideki Matsui has the most troubling line on here in my mind, as he actually apparently outperformed by .094 OPS points. If his true talent level is more in line with the .271/.337/.431 that PrOPS would have predicted, that contract is going to be a burden very soon. Bernie Williams was a bit unlucky. His PrOPS line of .262/.334/.396 would be a significant decline at DH next year, where the Yankees hit .258/.366/.452. Robinson Cano also exceeded his PrOPS predicted line. As a player who showed no ability to walk, this is a little troubling, as any drop in his hitting performance will make his contributions minimal. Hopefully he'll show some improvement in his secondary skills next season, or continue to hit for an average of .341 on contact with a SLG of .520. Ruben Sierra and John Flaherty were both slightly unlucky, which only boosts them from horrendous to awful. Tony Womack is gone, and I am stupified that he was actually lucky in 2005. He got scapegoated for hitting just .249/.276/.280 when he really should have hit .234/.263/281. Good luck in Cincinnati Tony! Bubba Crosby and his fan club should probably note that his .276/.304/.327 line was actually better than it probably should have been. Melky Cabrera, Andy Phillips, and Felix Escalona didn't really accrue enough playing time for these numbers to be particularly meaningful. PrOPS is a fairly new system that is still being refined, so there's no way to know just how accurate it is. However, if it is accurate, then there's some concern ahead, as only Giambi is predicted to have a significant improvement, and it would be offset by declines from Matsui, Jeter, and Rodriguez. This should make getting another bat to DH and play the OF a priority. As an aside, Newsday is reporting that the Yankees and Miguel Cairo have agreed to a deal, contingent on his passing a physical. --posted at 2:29 PM by SG / |
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